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MARKET WATCH for FEBRUARY 2025

GTA REALTORS Release February Stats TORONTO, ONTARIO, March 5, 2025 – Home buyers continued to benefit from substantial choice in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) resale market in February 2025. Home sales last month were down compared to the same period last year, while listing inventory remained high, providing substantial negotiating power for homebuyers.

"Many households in the GTA are eager to purchase a home, but current mortgage rates make it difficult for the average household income to comfortably cover monthly payments on a typical property. Fortunately, we anticipate a decline in borrowing costs in the coming months, which should improve affordability," said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

“On top of lingering affordability concerns, home buyers have arguably become less confident in the economy. Uncertainty about our trade relationship with the United States has likely prompted some households to take a wait and see attitude towards buying a home. If trade uncertainty is alleviated and borrowing costs continue to trend lower, we could see much stronger home sales activity in the second half of this year,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

GTA REALTORS® reported 4,037 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in February 2025 – down by 27.4 per cent compared to February 2024. New listings in the MLS® System amounted to 12,066 – up by 5.4 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, February sales were down month-over-month compared to January 2025.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 1.8 per cent year-over year in February 2025. The average selling price, at $1,084,547, was down by 2.2 per cent compared to the February 2024. On a month-over-month basis, the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price edged lower after seasonal adjustment.

“With the Ontario provincial election just behind us and the federal political situation in flux, there is a lot to consider from a policy perspective when it comes to housing. Not only do existing policy makers and those vying for high public office need to make clear their direction on housing supply and affordability, but they also need to be clear on how they intend to tackle issues related to trade and the economy. Clear direction will go a long way to strengthen consumer confidence,” said TRREB Chief Executive Officer John DiMichele.

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MARKET WATCH JANUARY 2025

GTA REALTORS Release 2025 Outlook and January Stats TORONTO, ONTARIO, FEBRUARY 5, 2025 – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) Market Outlook and Year in Review report reveals that a well-supplied housing market will keep average annual home price growth at the rate inflation, with the average selling price increasing moderately in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) over the course of the year.

A growing number of homebuyers will take advantage of lower borrowing costs as we move toward the 2025 spring market, resulting in increased transactions and a moderate uptick in average selling prices in 2025. However, the positive impact of lower mortgage rates could be reduced, at least temporarily, by the negative impact of trade disruptions on the economy and consumer confidence,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

For 2025, TRREB forecasts:
- A total of 76,000 home sales in 2025, up by 12.4 percent over 2024. Lower borrowing costs coupled with ample supply will improve affordability and prompt more buyers to move off the sidelines.

- The average selling price to reach $1,147,000, up by 2.6 per cent over 2024, for all home types combined. Price growth will be stronger for single-family homes, as compared to the well-supplied condo apartment market.

"As we look to the future, prioritizing housing diversity and supply remains paramount. Encouraging the development of missing-middle housing—such as townhomes, duplexes, and low-rise multi-unit buildings—is critical to delivering a range of attainable options for individuals and families. Purpose-built rentals also play a vital role in ensuring everyone has access to a place they can call home," said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

"At TRREB, we believe the solution starts with collaboration. Traffic congestion and affordability are interconnected challenges that require integrated approaches. The current system of high development charges, taxes, and administrative hurdles only exacerbates the issues. This stalls progress on building the housing supply we need to support our growing communities,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

The year started off with GTA REALTORS® reporting 3,847 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in January 2025 – down by 7.9 per cent compared to the same period last year. New listings in the MLS® System amounted to 12,392 – up by 48.6 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, January sales were up month-overmonth compared to December 2024. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was up by 0.44 per cent year-over year in January 2025. The average selling price, at $1,040,994, was up by 1.5 per cent compared to the January 2024.

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MARKET WATCH DECEMBER 2024

TRREB: Housing Market Gets More Affordable in 2024 with Lower Rates and Prices TORONTO, ONTARIO, January 7, 2025

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market experienced a transitionary year in 2024. Annual sales were up slightly compared to 2023, and new listings were up significantly year-over-year. Buyers benefited from substantial negotiating power on price, especially in the condominium apartment market. Average selling prices in 2024 dipped in comparison to 2023 as a result.

“Borrowing costs were top of mind for home buyers in 2024. High interest rates presented significant affordability hurdles and kept home sales well below the norm. The housing market did benefit from substantial Bank of Canada rate cuts in the second half of the year, including two large back-to-back reductions. All else being equal, further rate cuts in 2025 and home prices remaining below their historic peaks should result in improved market conditions over the next 12 months,” said the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

Annual 2024 home sales amounted to 67,610 – up by 2.6 per cent from 65,877 sales in 2023. New listings, at 166,121, were up by a greater annual rate of 16.4 per cent. Listings increasing by a greater rate than sales provided buyers with considerable choice in the marketplace, which effectively kept a ceiling on any widespread price growth.

The average selling price for all home types combined was $1,117,600 in 2024, representing a decline of less than one per cent compared to the 2023 average of $1,126,263. Market conditions were tighter for ground-oriented housing and selling prices held up better in these segments as a result. Price declines were more notable for condo apartments.

“Market conditions varied by market segment in 2024. Sales of single-family homes, including detached houses, increased last year, whereas condo apartment sales were down. Many would-be first-time buyers remained on the sidelines, anticipating more interest rate relief in 2025. The lack of first-time buyers impacted the less-expensive condo segment more so than the single-family segments,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Consumer sentiment, monetary policy, development policy, and issues such as congestion continued to impact the resale, new, and rental housing markets in 2024. Government policies on these fronts need to be reviewed in 2025. TRREB is providing in-depth coverage on all of these topics in our highly anticipated Market Outlook and Year in Review report to be released at the beginning of February,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele. GTA home sales amounted to 3,359 in December 2024 – down slightly from December 2023. New listings were up over the same period, continuing the trend of a well-supplied market. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark was up by less than one per cent year-over-year in December. Over the same period, the average price, at $1,067,186, edged lower.

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Market Watch November Stats

GTA REALTORS Release November Stats

TORONTO, ONTARIO, December 4, 2024 – Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales increased strongly on a year-over-year basis in November 2024. Many buyers benefitted from more affordable market conditions brought about by lower borrowing costs. New listings were also up compared to November 2023, but by a much lesser annual rate. This meant that market conditions tightened, resulting in overall average price growth compared to last year.

“As we approach the end of 2024, I am pleased to report an improvement in housing market conditions. Many home buyers patiently waited on the sidelines for reduced inflation and lower borrowing costs. With selling prices remaining well off their historic peak and monthly mortgage payments trending lower, the stage is set for an accelerating market recovery in 2025,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce.

GTA REALTORS® reported 5,875 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in November 2024 – up by 40.1 percent compared to 4,194 sales reported in November 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 11,592 – up by 6.6 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, November sales were up month-over-month compared to October.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 1.2 per cent year-over year in November 2024 – a much lesser annual rate of decline compared to previous months. The average selling price was up by 2.6 per cent compared to November 2023 to $1,106,050. Year-over-year average price growth was greater than that for the HPI Composite benchmark because of a greater weighting of detached home sales compared to last year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price edged slightly lower compared to October.

“Market conditions have tightened, particularly for single-family homes. The detached market segment experienced average annual price growth above the rate of inflation, particularly in the City of Toronto. In contrast, the condominium apartment segment continued to experience lower average selling prices compared to a year ago.

Condo buyers are benefitting from a lot of choice and therefore negotiating power. This will attract renter households into homeownership as borrowing costs trend lower in the months ahead,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

While the rental market will remain relatively well-supplied as more renters transition to homeownership, expect rental demand to pick up as population growth remains high. The rental market could strengthen for both tenants and landlords by reducing the backlog of cases at the Landlord and Tenant Board (LTB). 

“Reforming the LTB to make it faster and fairer will go a long way to getting more individuals and families into homes they can afford,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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MARKET WATCH OCTOBER 2024

GTA REALTORS® Release October 2024 Stats
Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales increased year-over-year in October 2024. Over the same period, new listings were up, but at a lesser annual rate. The result was tighter market conditions compared to October 2023. The average selling price was up slightly on an annual basis.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate-cutting cycle, it does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October. The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices, prompted this improvement in market activity,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce.

GTA REALTORS® reported 6,658 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in October 2024 – up by 44.4 percent compared to 4,611 sales reported in October 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 15,328 – up by 4.3 percent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, October sales increased month-over-month compared to September. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 3.3 per cent year-over year in October 2024. The average selling price was up by 1.1 per cent compared to October 2023 to $1,135,215. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price edged up compared to September.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for home buyers. This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Policymakers can further improve affordability by reducing taxes on home buyers. TRREB supports the Conservative Party of Canada pledge to remove the GST from the purchase of new homes sold for under $1 million as this is an encouraging step towards giving new home buyers desperately needed relief. Enhancing the rebate will not only make homes more affordable, but it will also increase the number of homes built,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

“Given that the average price of a home in less affordable markets such as the GTA and Vancouver is over $1 million, phasing out the rebate between $1 million and $1.5 million, rather than a hard cutoff at $1 million, would address this shortcoming. Provincial consideration should also be given to matching this proposal,” continued DiMichele.

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GTA REALTORS® 2024 Stats

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales increased year-over-year in September. Buyers were starting to take advantage of more affordable market conditions brought about by interest rate cuts and lower home prices.

“As buyers take advantage of changes to mortgage lending guidelines and borrowing costs trend lower, home sales will steadily increase in relation to population growth. With every rate cut, a growing number of GTA households will afford a long-term investment in home ownership, including first-time buyers,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce.

GTA REALTORS® reported 4,996 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in September 2024 – up by 8.5 per cent compared to 4,606 sales reported in September 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 18,089 – up by an even greater 10.5 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, September sales increased on a monthly basis compared to August, along with new listings.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 4.6 per cent year-over-year in September 2024. The average selling price, at $1,107,291 was down by a lesser one per cent compared to the September 2023 average of $1,118,215. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price edged up slightly compared to August.

“The annual improvement in September home sales was more than matched by the increase in new listings over the same period. This resulted in a better-supplied market and increased negotiating power for buyers re-entering the market. The ability to negotiate on price, led to moderate year-over-year price declines, particularly in the more affordable condo apartment and townhouse segments, which are popular with firsttime buyers,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“We are pleased with the positive changes to mortgage lending guidelines announced over the past month. The ability for existing mortgage holders to shop around for the best rate without facing the stress test will result in more affordable renewals. Longer amortization periods and the ability to insure mortgages for purchases over $1 million dollars will give home buyers more options as the GTA housing market recovers. TRREB has long been calling for these changes to give buyers more flexibility as they navigate their home buying journey,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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MARKET WATCH AUGUST 2024

TRREB: GTA Housing Market Becoming More Affordable 

TORONTO, ONTARIO, September 5, 2024 – Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales were down on a year-over-year basis in August 2024. New listings were up slightly over the same period. While the region’s housing market remained well-supplied in August, average home prices only edged slightly lower compared to August 2023. 

“The Bank of Canada’s rate cut announced on September 4 will lead to a further improvement in affordability, especially for those using variable rate mortgages. First-time buyers are especially sensitive to changes in borrowing costs. As mortgage rates continue to trend lower this year and next, we should experience an uptick in first-time buying activity, including in the condo market,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce. 

GTA REALTORS® reported 4,975 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in August 2024 – down by 5.3 per cent compared to 5,251 sales reported in August 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 12,547 – up by 1.5 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, August sales edged up on a monthly basis compared to July, whereas new listings were down slightly compared to the previous month. 

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 4.6 per cent year-over-year in August 2024. The average selling price was down by a lesser 0.8 per cent compared to August 2023 to $1,074,425. The different annual rates of change between the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price were largely due to an increase in the share of detached home sales compared to last year, impacting the average price. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price edged lower compared to July. 

“As borrowing costs trend lower over the next year-and-a-half, home buyers will initially benefit from both lower monthly mortgage payments and lower home prices. Even as demand picks up, especially in 2025, it will take time for the inventory of listings to be absorbed. Ample choice in the market will help keep price growth moderate, at least in the initial phases of recovery,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer. 

“Today’s elevated listing inventory will ultimately recede. We need to maintain a sustained focus on boosting home construction, especially as it relates to producing the right mix of home types to meet consumers’ needs. This new housing also has to be affordable. Municipalities can help by reducing development charges, which are ultimately passed on to home buyers. If people can't find affordable housing in the GTA or surrounding Greater Golden Horseshoe, they will move elsewhere, and not necessarily to other parts of Ontario or Canada. Housing is a key driver of our region's economic development,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

To view ALL stats for West Toronto visit here

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MARKET WATCH FOR JUNE - 2024

TRREB: June Home Buyers Eying Further Interest Rate Relief TORONTO, ONTARIO, July 4, 2024 – June 2024 home sales in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) were lower compared to the same month last year, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). Despite the Bank of Canada rate cut at the beginning of last month, many buyers kept their home purchase decisions on hold. The market remained wellsupplied, resulting in a slight dip in the average selling price compared to June 2023.

“The Bank of Canada’s rate cut last month provided some initial relief for homeowners and home buyers. However, the June sales result suggests that most home buyers will require multiple rate cuts before they move off the sidelines. This follows Ipsos polling for TRREB, which suggested that cumulative rate cuts of 100 basis points or more are required to boost home sales by any significant amount,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

GTA REALTORS® reported 6,213 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in June 2024 – a 16.4 per cent decline compared to 7,429 sales reported in June 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 17,964 – up by 12.3 per cent year-over-year.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 4.6 per cent on a year-overyear basis in June 2024. The average selling price of $1,162,167 was down by 1.6 per cent over the June 2023 result of $1,181,002. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, both the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price were up compared to May 2024.

“The GTA housing market is currently well-supplied. Recent home buyers have benefitted from substantial choice and therefore negotiating power on price. Moving forward, as sales pick up alongside lower borrowing costs, elevated inventory levels will help mitigate against a quick runup in selling prices,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Despite a temporary dip in home sales due to high interest rates, we know that strong population growth is driving long-term demand for ownership and rental housing. Ontario has set the goal of 1.5 million more homes on the ground by 2031. This is only possible if all levels of government ensure actionable solutions with sustained effort, including continuing to remove red tape, avoiding financial barriers to home construction, and minimizing housing taxes and development charges,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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GTA REALTORS® Release May 2024 Stats

May home sales continued at low levels, especially in comparison to last spring’s short-lived pick-up in market activity. Home buyers are still waiting for relief on the mortgage rate front. Existing homeowners are anticipating an uptick in demand, as evidenced by a year-over-year increase in new listings. With more choice compared to a year ago, buyers benefitted from more negotiating room on prices.

"Recent polling from Ipsos indicates that home buyers are waiting for clear signs of declining mortgage rates. As borrowing costs decrease over the next 18 months, more buyers are expected to enter the market, including many first-time buyers. This will open up much needed space in a relatively tight rental market," stated Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce.

Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 7,013 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in May 2024 – a 21.7 per cent decline compared to 8,960 sales reported in May 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 18,612 – up by 21.1 per cent year-over-year.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 3.5 per cent on a year-over-year basis in May 2024. The average selling price of $1,165,691 was down by 2.5 per cent over the May 2023 result of $1,195,409. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the average selling price edged up slightly compared to April 2024.

“While interest rates remained high in May, home buyers did continue to benefit from slightly lower selling prices compared to last year. We have seen selling prices adjust to mitigate the impact of higher mortgage rates. Affordability is expected to improve further as borrowing costs trend lower. However, as demand picks up, we will likely see renewed upward pressure on home prices as competition between buyers increases,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“In order to have an affordable and livable region over the long term, we need to see a coordinated effort from all levels of government to alleviate our current housing deficit and to provide housing for new population moving forward. On top of this, governments need to ensure the delivery of infrastructure to support our growing population. The economic health and liveability of our region depends on the timely completion of public transit projects including better transparency and clear timelines on the completion of the Eglinton Crosstown LRT,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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May 2024 Real Estate Stats

TRREB: More Choice for Home Buyers in April TORONTO, ONTARIO, May 3, 2024 – April 2024 home sales were down in comparison to April 2023, when there was a temporary resurgence in market activity. New listings were up strongly year-over-year, which meant there was increased choice for home buyers and little movement in the average selling price compared to last year.

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) REALTORS® reported 7,114 sales through the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) MLS® System in April 2024 – down by five per cent compared to April 2023. New listings were up by 47.2 per cent over the same period. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, sales edged lower while new listings were up compared to March.

“Listings were up markedly in April in comparison to last year and last month. Many homeowners are anticipating an increase in demand for ownership housing as we move through the spring. While sales are expected to pick up, many would-be home buyers are likely waiting for the Bank of Canada to actually begin cutting its policy rate before purchasing a home,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite benchmark was down by less than one per cent per cent year-over-year. The average selling price was up by 0.3 per cent to $1,156,167. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, the MLS® HPI Composite was up by 0.4 per cent and the average selling price was up by 1.5 per cent compared to March.

“Generally speaking, buyers are benefitting from ample choice in the GTA resale market in April. As a result, there was little movement in selling prices compared to last year. Looking forward, the expectation is that lower borrowing costs will prompt tighter market conditions in the months to come, which will result in renewed price growth, especially as we move into 2025,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“All levels of government have announced plans and stated that they are committed to improving affordability and choice for residents. However, more work is needed on alignment to achieve these goals, whether we’re talking about bringing enough housing online to account for future population growth or finding the right balance between government spending and combatting inflation. We can’t have policies in opposition. Housing policy alignment is key to achieving sustained, tangible results,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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GTA REALTORS® Release February 2024 Stats

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales and new listings were up on an annual and monthly basis in February 2024. Selling prices also edged upward compared to a year earlier. Population growth and a resilient regional economy continued to support the overall demand for housing. Higher borrowing costs kept home sales below the February sales record reached in 2021.

“We have recently seen a resurgence in sales activity compared to last year. The market assumption is that the Bank of Canada has finished hiking rates. Consumers are now anticipating rate cuts in the near future. A growing number of homebuyers have also come to terms with elevated mortgage rates over the past two years. To minimize higher monthly payments, some buyers have likely saved up a larger down payment, chosen to purchase a less-expensive home type and/or looked to a different location in the GTA,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

REALTORS® reported 5,607 GTA home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in February 2024 – an increase of 17.9 per cent compared to February 2023. Even after accounting for the leap year effect, sales were up by 12.3 per cent yearover-year. New listings were up by an even greater annual rate than sales in February, pointing to increased choice for buyers. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, February sales were lower following two consecutive monthly increases while new listings were flat. Monthly figures can be somewhat volatile, especially when the market is approaching a transition point.

Home selling prices in February 2024 remained similar to February 2023. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark edged up by 0.4 per cent. The average selling price of $1,108,720 increased by a modest 1.1 per cent. On a seasonally-adjusted monthly basis, both the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price edged upward.

“As we move through 2024, an increasing number of buyers will re-enter the market with adjusted housing preferences to account for higher borrowing costs. In the second half of the year, lower interest rates will further boost demand for ownership housing. First-time buying activity will also be a contributing factor, as many renters look to trade high monthly rents for a long-term investment in which they can live and build equity,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Population growth has been at a record pace and with the anticipated lower borrowing costs, the demand for housing – both ownership and rental – will also increase over the next two years. Unaffordable housing not only has a financial impact but also a social impact. Recent research conducted for TRREB by CANCEA in our 2024 Market Outlook and Year in Review report underscores the negative impact of unaffordable housing on peoples’ mental health and life satisfaction. It’s comforting to see that there has been some real building happening in the GTA and that the provincial government is rewarding those municipalities that are working to eliminate the red tape and meet those homeownership needs,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

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